Actually I think that a lot of shares have dipped after the AGM.
I did not listen to question time here, so maybe something spooked the audience.
My take is that investors have lost sight of profits and we now have a new investment model Revenue Growth or multiples of revenue. Take STP (Step One) a product I like but next year will made $2 million and valued over $500 Million. Sorry but if you think that other competitors cannot challenge that position I must be dreaming. The moat must consist of the cost of a ticket and some travel money plus the cost of advertising and Step One spent $30 Million so a budget of $70 million and you can probably get the same airspace all to make $2 million.
Nothing to suggest this is a growth industry. Nothing to suggest we are all going to eat more chicken. So this is a slow gradual change in fortunes driven by cash flow.
This is a geared investment and you hope the interest rates stay low for another 3 to 4 years and that the company keeps improving. The fear will be interest rates. The plus side is that if you hit the sweet spot it generates $1.20 cash flow per shares earns around 45c has around 70c in depreciation ( around $265 million in total). So what you have to repay debt is dependant upon how much capex you put back in. If they can pay off $200 to $250 million each year that will change this investment over time. That is why I invest here. I buy in when the fanfare of dividends has gone and the slow bleed keeps happening , sell out when it gets a bit pricey - rinse and repeat.
At some point it will become a core holding if the rerating starts happening. That will only occur in my opinion when the debt has been reduced a lot more and all the efficiency programs have made the difference.
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Actually I think that a lot of shares have dipped after the...
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Last
$3.42 |
Change
-0.040(1.16%) |
Mkt cap ! $1.271B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$3.44 | $3.45 | $3.40 | $3.530M | 1.032M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 10200 | $3.41 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$3.47 | 2924 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 10200 | 3.410 |
9 | 16554 | 3.400 |
1 | 8000 | 3.390 |
10 | 44559 | 3.380 |
1 | 85 | 3.370 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
3.470 | 2924 | 1 |
3.480 | 3225 | 1 |
3.490 | 9940 | 1 |
3.500 | 6972 | 1 |
3.520 | 30000 | 2 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 01/08/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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Ron Miller, Non-Executive Director
Ron Miller
Non-Executive Director
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