Many variables in trying to value a immuno-oncology drug.
Below based on US Bio research specialist. A rough guide only.
Start of each phase - oncology single molecule valuation estimation ($US)
Phase 1 $105M - Probability of FDA approval: 12%
Phase 2 $285m - probability of FDA approval: 20%
Phase 3 $1,248m - probability of FDA approval: 56%
Completion phase 3 - FDA submission - $3,500m
FDA approved and commercialisation - $4,500m+
Above could be multiplied by x% based on multiple indications.
So, what's Efti worth right now?
Many variables in trying to value a immuno-oncology drug.Below...
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