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I'm liking the second last line Hodgie.

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macenroc

1,221 Posts.

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17/04/23

14:42

Post #: 67314058
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Originally posted by Hodgie28: ↑

Many variables in trying to value a immuno-oncology drug.

Below based on US Bio research specialist. A rough guide only.

Start of each phase - oncology single molecule valuation estimation ($US)

Phase 1 $105M - Probability of FDA approval: 12%
Phase 2 $285m - probability of FDA approval: 20%
Phase 3 $1,248m - probability of FDA approval: 56%
Completion phase 3 - FDA submission - $3,500m
FDA approved and commercialisation - $4,500m+

Above could be multiplied by x% based on multiple indications.

So, what's Efti worth right now?

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I'm liking the second last line Hodgie.

IMM Price at posting: 24.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
10 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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(20min delay)
Last 44.5¢		Change 0.025(5.95%)		Mkt cap ! $529.0M

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
42.0¢	45.0¢	42.0¢	$1.157M	2.651M

Buyers (Bids)

No.	Vol.	Price($)
2	98121	44.5¢

Sellers (Offers)

Price($)	Vol.	No.
45.0¢	349969	10

View Market Depth

No.	Vol.	Price($)
2	98121	0.445
2	13512	0.440
2	20512	0.435
4	120000	0.430
3	84113	0.425

Price($)	Vol.	No.
0.450	349969	10
0.455	128065	5
0.460	67916	8
0.465	25000	2
0.470	57424	6

Last trade - 16.10pm 29/04/2024 (20 minute delay)


Last 45.0¢			Change 0.025 ( 6.71 %)
Open	High		Low	Volume
42.5¢	45.0¢		42.0¢	744716
Last updated 15.59pm 29/04/2024 ?

IMM (ASX) Chart