Mn not even mentioned:South32: Sydney Round-table - Right place, righttime? We met with S32 CEOGrahamKerr and CFOSandy Sibenaler. Discussion focused on portfolio, balancesheet and growth. S32 remains our preferred diversified with increasingleverage to future-facing metals and uplift in FCF yield to 7.7%/6.4% FY24/25from 2.9% FY23. 1) Portfolio: Base metal bias with assets not aligned tostrategy considered for sale at the right price. 2) Illawarra Met Coal: Focuswas on media reports of potential M&A (link). S32 confirmed a formalprocess was not underway but that assets may be sold at the right price.Approach(es) have been made in last 6mths at unattractive prices. S32 see amulti-decade future for IMC with green steel expected to take time and Appinsingle LW producing to ~2039+. NSW gov is consulting on proposed royaltychanges; key will be differentiating thermal/met coal. A QLD style royaltywould negatively impact NPV up to $250m. 3) Sierra Gorda: Debottleneckingprogressing, 47-48Mtpa run rates FY24 before FID that takes throughput to58-58Mtpa over 3yr build for approx. US$500m capex (100% basis). JVrelationship strong, expansion and funding scenario decisions to come alongsideoxide leach option. 4) Worsely: Boddington bauxite approvals for next 15yrs LOM90%-95% complete; expect by Jun-H-25, 2-3yr existing mine plan buffer, furtherfrom water supply (closest ~15kms) than peers. 5) Hillside:Repowering/decarbonisation key, complicated by downstream and 30k jobsdependent on the complex. Nuclear + solar/wind offtake sought but cost sharingwith Eskom/gov key. 6) Alumar: Disappointing but still see value in restartdespite delays. 7) Hermosa: Cu optionality at Peake, development of Clarke withUS funding assistance will create value despite recent write down. Capex withFID later CY23 next catalyst, cons US$2.1-$2.2b, likely 4yr build. 8) AmblerJV: Road permit and resource inventory both required to justify investmentcase. First nations road consent process moving forward. We remain Buy rated,A$4.30/sh price target. Source:UBS
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Last
46.0¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $352.4M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
46.0¢ | 46.0¢ | 46.0¢ | $2.01K | 4.37K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 73432 | 46.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
48.0¢ | 5000 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 73432 | 0.460 |
1 | 2196 | 0.455 |
1 | 2173 | 0.435 |
2 | 5000 | 0.430 |
1 | 11767 | 0.425 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.485 | 1592 | 1 |
0.500 | 6130 | 1 |
0.550 | 13000 | 1 |
0.565 | 11000 | 1 |
0.585 | 300 | 1 |
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