FFX 0.00% 20.0¢ firefinch limited

Ann: Investor Presentation-BGS.AX, page-161

  1. 4,183 Posts.
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    Just to skirmish some numbers... please feel free to add your 2 cents as i'm a nooby analyst:

    Current Market Cap
    Issued Capital (152.4 m + 19.9 m) 172.3 m x $0.27 = $45.521 m M.C.

    400,000 oz at Massigui
    400,000 x average profit per oz $400 = $160m
    (super conservative avg prof per oz btw)

    The most recent Investor Presentation states the following:
    - "Current mill feed at Morila exhausted in mid 2016"
    - "Potential for Massigui ore to be processed at Morilla"
    - "Discussion ongoing to progress development solution"

    If Morila will be idle around July-Sep (Mill feed exhaustion mid 16) then they would need to strike a deal maybe a month before ore arrives on site to be processed.
    This would lead me to believe that a deal could come around about a month before July-Sep.


    Date guess of future announcements:
    - 7th July    Li drill results confirming
    - 1st Aug Gold processing deal announced at Morila
    - 1st Sep Li scoping study completed
    - 1st Oct Gold income from Morila starts to flow

    I first entered this stock in Feb-Mar at $0.066 (small $$$'s mind you) and it was purely for the gold, then it shoots up 400% due to the Li announcement.
    Over the last 2 week's ive entered more funds (in a big way) with an average price of $0.33 and am sitting here in reasonable pain (about 20% loss).

    The gold alone at current prices should see BGS tripple.
    I do believe (and its actually playing out) that gold has finished its correction and is heading to $1,900 usd, and beyond which could see the above mentioned trippling, turning into a Disallowed.
    Then add the Li.

    Sooner or later this puppy has to fly and if my skirmished timeline is anywhere near correct, a happy Christmas it will be.
 
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