DRO 3.53% $1.64 droneshield limited

I am not so sure wombat.They have blown circa $65 million on...

  1. 2,549 Posts.
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    I am not so sure wombat.

    They have blown circa $65 million on their CY2022 sales pipeline as per the July Investor Presentation. Please explain DRO.

    Whilst cashflow is indeed better - they are still struggling on the sales front, barely acheiving $500k per month in general non-disclosed revenue.

    And expenses are rising.

    I am still very positive on the future of DRO - however, management needs to seriously look at the way it sets and achieves targets and why it is failing to convert the sales pipeline to revenue.

    SK.

    DRO Analysis
    As at: 13/10/2022
    1




    2CY 2022



    330/6/2022Half year customer revenue$5,223,000
    Including payments in advance
    4
    Less receipts relating to 2021-$200,000

    530/9/20223rd QTR customer revenue$3,626,000

    630/9/20223rd QTR Grants & Incentives (non-customer)$2,016,000

    71/9/2022Record European Order$500,000
    Assume 75% received 3rd QTR
    84/10/2022US Department of Defence$1,800,000
    Expected receipt prior to 31 December 2022
    9


    $12,965,000
    10
    Adjustments


    1131/12/2022Australian Department of Defence$300,000
    $3.8M contract to be completed mid-2023
    12
    Assuming $1.8 still payable between Jan 2022 & Jun 2023



    1331/10/2022Defence Innovation Hub$133,500
    $800k spread over 12 months
    14
    Take-up approximate allocation to 3rd QTR 2022


    1531/12/2022Take-up non-disclosed revenue at $500k per month$1,500,000
    3 month general revenue
    16
    Total adjustments
    $1,933,500
    17




    18
    Total revenue forecast 2022
    $14,898,500
    19
    Change since last forecast
    -1.92%Slight revenue decrease
    20




    21CY 2021



    22
    Full year sales and other revenue
    $10,812,000
    23




    24
    Rev growth 2022


    37.80%
    25




    26




    27ExpensesCY 2022 expenses (1/1/2022-30/9/2022)$13,055,787$17,407,716Expenses 1/1/2022-30/9/2022 (/3*4)
    28
    Subtract increase in inventory levels @ 50%
    -$500,000
    $1,000,000 increase in inventory at sales value
    29


    $16,907,716
    30
    Change since last forecast
    12.02%Expenses increasing
    31




    32
    Forecast 2022 profit (loss)
    $ (2,009,216)
    33




    34Break Even?Revenue / Expenses
    85.59%Probably no break even CY2022
    35




    36Comparison2021 Loss
    $ (5,310,447)
    37


    62.16%Improvement
    38




    39Investor 13/10/2022


    40Presentation$50 million sale pipeline for remainder CY2022


    41
    $180 million for CY2023


    42
    I am only forescasting $1.5 million of this to be realised


    43




    44
    However:


    45




    46
    From July investor presentation -


    47
    $125 million in sales pipeline for FY2022


    48
    & $230 million for FY2023


    49




    50
    What happened to circa $65 million CY2022??????


    51
    What happened to circa $50 million CY2023??????



 
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