NTU 3.45% 3.0¢ northern minerals limited

re: Ann: Investor Presentation - Pathway to H... As a starting...

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    re: Ann: Investor Presentation - Pathway to H... As a starting point assume that NTU figure of 10% REO to tails is correct and thus 90% is retained in concentrate. Based on your figure of 60% recovery by processor from concentrate the processor recovers around 50% of the original material.

    This concentrate can be used as a "sweetener" to the process and provides the processor with a strategic fit if the processor is producing mainly light REOs. Thus I assume that the processor will pay say 60% of the recovered metal to give a price of 30% of in situ content. This converts to $100/kg.

    Based on a cut-off of 0.2% I estimate that a conservative mined grade is 0.4% or 4 kgs/tonne mined. The value of each tonne to NTU is $400.

    Bulk mining for NTU from surface with a simple low capital cost plant - well they mine 1% copper, crush it, float it to produce a concentrate and then refine it to copper metal all for $45/tonne in situ value so NTU operation cannot be much higher than that cost.

    It seems to me that NTU makes $300/tonne mined. At 0.4% to produce 3,000 tonnes product NTU mines 750,000 tonnes which produces an operating profit of over $200 million.

    Some matters to be better defined - particularly Dy recovery and JORC estimates but the project has excellent margins to absorb some deviations from the above conjecture.





 
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