LBL 1.45% 68.0¢ laserbond limited

I have just started looking into this stock. I am not sure if...

  1. 275 Posts.
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    I have just started looking into this stock. I am not sure if there is much value at current share price.

    It looks like current EV/EBITDA is around 8.7. PE ratio is around 19.7.

    The path to $60m revenue

    Organic growth of 11% gets them to around $48m revenue in FY25.

    Acquiring the additional $12m revenue at a multiple of 2 would cost $24m.

    Lets assume a cap raise of 12m (1.2 debt to EBITDA multiple) at 0.72 cents (15% discount). Thats 16.67m new shares. New SOI would be 126.64m.

    For the remaining consideration lets say $2m cash and $10m loan.

    That gets us to $60m revenue by end of FY25. I will assume a $14.6m EBITDA from this revenue (24.5% margin).

    A conservative EV/EBITDA of 8 gets us to a share price of around 82 cents.
    A PE ratio of 15 (assuming 12% net profit margin) would be 0.85 cents

    I don't see any value at the current share price unless they exceed 11% organic growth. Can someone let me know if i'm wrong here. I am happy to be proven wrong.

 
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Last
68.0¢
Change
-0.010(1.45%)
Mkt cap ! $79.39M
Open High Low Value Volume
69.5¢ 69.5¢ 68.0¢ $40.25K 58.84K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
3 10007 68.0¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
69.5¢ 25302 1
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Last trade - 16.10pm 21/05/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
Last
69.5¢
  Change
-0.010 ( 0.72 %)
Open High Low Volume
69.5¢ 69.5¢ 68.5¢ 2375
Last updated 13.43pm 21/05/2024 ?
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