Given Fridays price action I thought it might be helpful to lay out where we are in terms of valuation based on my numbers
At $1.95 our forward P/E numbers look like this.
FY to 6/22 - 27x to 29x (the range uses two assumptions as to the level of second half contract wins recognised during the period)
FY to 6/23 - 17x
FY to 6/24 - 12.5x
During these periods we should also see strong free cashflow. Currently net cash and the difference between payables and receivables is @A$ 39 million, that should increase to at least A$ 44.5 million by 6/22 and assuming no M&A or increase in R&D spend then we should have cash balances of A$ 67 million by 6/23 and A$ 96 million by 6/24.
The above numbers assume no upside to the Eisai licensing deal, and new clinical contract wins that grow by 8% a year over the prior 3 year rolling average.
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cogstate ltd
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$1.86

Ann: Investor Update, page-2
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Last
$1.86 |
Change
0.020(1.09%) |
Mkt cap ! $310.2M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$1.85 | $1.86 | $1.82 | $281.1K | 152.8K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 2582 | $1.83 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$1.87 | 1100 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 143 | 1.825 |
1 | 1469 | 1.815 |
2 | 1997 | 1.810 |
1 | 278 | 1.805 |
3 | 5277 | 1.800 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.830 | 1456 | 1 |
1.855 | 119 | 1 |
1.860 | 5063 | 1 |
1.865 | 1100 | 1 |
1.870 | 10119 | 2 |
Last trade - 14.56pm 28/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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