Given Fridays price action I thought it might be helpful to lay out where we are in terms of valuation based on my numbers
At $1.95 our forward P/E numbers look like this.
FY to 6/22 - 27x to 29x (the range uses two assumptions as to the level of second half contract wins recognised during the period)
FY to 6/23 - 17x
FY to 6/24 - 12.5x
During these periods we should also see strong free cashflow. Currently net cash and the difference between payables and receivables is @A$ 39 million, that should increase to at least A$ 44.5 million by 6/22 and assuming no M&A or increase in R&D spend then we should have cash balances of A$ 67 million by 6/23 and A$ 96 million by 6/24.
The above numbers assume no upside to the Eisai licensing deal, and new clinical contract wins that grow by 8% a year over the prior 3 year rolling average.
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CGS
cogstate ltd
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$1.72

Given Fridays price action I thought it might be helpful to lay...
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Last
$1.72 |
Change
-0.090(4.99%) |
Mkt cap ! $291.1M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$1.81 | $1.81 | $1.69 | $138.9K | 78.66K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 9999 | $1.72 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$1.75 | 600 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 9999 | 1.715 |
1 | 443 | 1.690 |
1 | 595 | 1.680 |
1 | 10000 | 1.675 |
1 | 9985 | 1.650 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.750 | 600 | 1 |
1.770 | 4773 | 1 |
1.800 | 5358 | 2 |
1.810 | 2311 | 1 |
1.880 | 2426 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 30/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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