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Ann: Investor Update, page-4

  1. 5,774 Posts.
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    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5398/5398553-909051706db449ae300698aa7c1314de.jpg
    This sounds good. But I can't take them at their word after so many quarters of flat negative overall margins.


    Somebody previously mentioned losing a significant customer/distributor of ebook readers in schools. But I guess VET is more reliable, in that you'll not lose a large portion of schools in any one year? Am I right?

    I imagine it's more like -3% school attrition, +5% school additions. If a bad year, maybe -5% and +3%. Not like 1 year losing a distributor worth 30% of ebook sales.


    The ebook distributor loss seems to come down to: the product is easy enough to duplicate, and under-cut?

    But VET - it's probably not easy to copy VET courses and undercut (still have to keep it good quality, or lose customers before long).

    So is it a better quality and more sticky business?


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5398/5398556-4ce7c7726c7d2cfef844d6aad4148f6a.jpg
    19.4% would be overall, combined businesses including acquisitions?
    43% is VET only, including acquisitions.
    19% organic growth in VET.

    The 19.4% is driven up by the 43% VET number. So 19% organic for VET is above the rest-of-businesses growth rate. So VET is apparently organically growing to become a higher proportion of group revenue. A fine trend. And it's above inflation. I like the idea of being able to upsell too - other courses, within existing schools.

    Sounds like a good trend there.


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5398/5398558-c63f7d131ad45fc69ce503c82c7dc26c.jpg
    Interesting little point there. 5.3% market share (13k/245k)


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5398/5398560-49dde034491db59ca7f439d0711d2fb4.jpg
    This sounds a little inefficient. But they have opportunity to improve it.

    But according to them, it's not costly.
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5398/5398562-6090780467347ed6851cf58ce652a80e.jpg
    And plans for more
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5398/5398566-3cdc93222c5a3cc59e3a9e4d77f73729.jpg


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5398/5398565-2c19a652115b3142f814b05f62988ea8.jpg
    But through acquisition. So better prove it over the medium term.



    I guess I'll continue to hold and wait.
    Last edited by danbradster: 04/07/23
 
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