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Jackson 29 Well – Review and Scenario Analysis
Based on the announcement from Blue Star Helium Limited regarding the Jackson 29 well, here’s a structured breakdown focusing on best-case and worst-case scenarios, as well as pressure benchmarking against industry standards.
Key Facts from the Announcement
Location: Galactica project, Las Animas County, Colorado
Formation: Lyons Sandstone
Depth: Reached total depth (TD) of 1,183 feet
Gas Confirmation: Yes – via wireline logs and natural flow
Gas-bearing interval: 61 feet of high-quality, gas-saturated sandstone
Water Presence: None encountered, which is positive
Next Steps: Surface pressure readings and full flow testing pending
Partners: Helium One Global Ltd is contributing first US$450,000
Best-Case Scenario
High Helium Concentration:
- Helium grades >1% are considered economically viable.
- If testing reveals helium content in the 2–3%+ range (comparable to Arizona's Holbrook Basin or some Tanzanian discoveries), this could significantly boost valuation.
High Reservoir Pressure:
- Ideal pressures: For economic production, wellhead pressures of 500–1,500 psi are typical for strong helium wells.
- Natural flow at TD already suggests a pressurized system, which bodes well.
Minimal CO₂ and Contaminants:
- Lower CO₂ levels reduce processing costs.
- Clean gas stream makes for more attractive offtake agreements.
No Water Production:
- Confirmed absence of water eliminates water handling/disposal costs.
- Also suggests minimal depletion risk due to water encroachment.
Scalable Production:
- If this well mirrors others in the field (e.g., Jackson 31), the Lyons Sandstone may support scalable, modular production setups.
Worst-Case Scenario
Low Helium Content:
- Anything below ~0.3% helium can be uneconomic without major infrastructure.
- High CO₂ without helium offset could result in a stranded asset.
Poor Pressure:
- If surface pressure is low (<200 psi), the well may require artificial lift or be uneconomic to tie-in.
- Could suggest compartmentalization or depletion.
Operational Delays:
- Flow testing or tie-in issues, or rig availability, could delay monetization.
Regulatory or Partner Challenges:
- Delays from permits, JV conflicts, or local opposition are always a risk.
Benchmarking Against Industry Standards
Recommendations / Next Steps
Await Laboratory Results:
- Helium and CO₂ content will define economics.
- Pay attention to purity and inert gas ratios.
Monitor Surface Pressure and Flow Test Data:
- This will determine production viability without compression.
Compare Against Offset Wells (e.g., Jackson 31):
- Similar behavior across wells strengthens field-wide assumptions.
Sensitivity Modeling:
- Consider running economic scenarios for helium content at 0.3%, 1.0%, and 2.5% with varying pressures to evaluate thresholds for profitability.
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