hi rexsh
my thoughts are & I've mentioned this before, we are dealing with a larger reservoir area than first thought , which is a good thing, remember the coal permeability is very good for these depths. so the important thing here is what the reservoir pressure is & not the BHP & if we are dealing with a larger reservoir area its going to take longer to get the reservoir to critical desorption pressure & when it does we should end up with a larger EUR. By the looks of things they are about 4 to 6 weeks out on where they thought the reservoir pressure would be. For me this has nothing to do with skinning as the " Water productivity remains high throughout desorption period" & "Jaws gas production continues to build" it's more to do with removing a larger amount of water because we are in contact with a larger reservoir area & like you say it may take 18 months for peak flows, so what's another 4 to 6 weeks. i do feel we are now in the early stages of the gas build .
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