ORG 2.27% $10.38 origin energy limited

I've only seen a couple of models from way back, but they are...

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  1. 393 Posts.
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    I've only seen a couple of models from way back, but they are quite detailed and complex.
    I certainly haven't seen the models that underpin these latest reports.

    They generally do a SOTP DCF model, with a huge bunch of varied assumptions, usually measured against or in addition to industry EV/EBITDA multiples.
    I.e Goldman Sachs use DCF and EV/EBITDa multiple. generally 85% / 15%:
    • APLNG 50/50 on DCF and 6.0X EV/EBITDA
    • Energy Markets (inc. corporate) 16.4 P/E multiple
    • E&P DCF

    A lot of the broker reports will include a fair bit of comms on their main drivers and assumptions.
    I note a wide range of WACC employed by brokers, which can impact valuations quite dramatically

    If there's anything specific you are after, I can dig it up (or at least try)

    I certainly wouldn't blindly follow a broker, but I think consensus is a reasonable indicator. I guess its just another valuation perspective to agree or disagree with

    Looking at the following chart of TP Vs closing price wont give you any confidence
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3427/3427497-610d37e366a013712d07ab5e09b3dc96.jpg
 
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Last
$10.38
Change
0.230(2.27%)
Mkt cap ! $17.84B
Open High Low Value Volume
$10.30 $10.42 $10.22 $12.07M 1.166M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
18 6287 $10.38
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$10.39 4154 15
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Last trade - 14.38pm 15/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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