PLS 3.17% $3.05 pilbara minerals limited

Ubs Pilbara MineralsStill downside to priceStrong production...

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  1. 16,462 Posts.
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    Ubs

    Pilbara Minerals
    Still downside to price

    Strong production (again) with FY25 guidance in-line but price outlook weak PLS reported Jun-Q spodumene production of 226kt beating expectations and the topend of FY24 guidance (725kt vs 660-690kt). Sales of 236kt were even stronger with March ships slipping into April. However, a realised price of US$840/t was ~14% below our expectations on sales timing and reflecting the weak market conditions. We have trimmed earnings on slightly higher costs and D&A which sees EPS -10%/-4%/-7% over FY25/26/27E and, after including more development capital, our NPV based price target is down 4% to A$2.50/sh. Unlike PLS, we are concerned about the lack of cost support for prices and retain a Sell rating.
 
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