Ubs
Pilbara Minerals
Still downside to price
Strong production (again) with FY25 guidance in-line but price outlook weak PLS reported Jun-Q spodumene production of 226kt beating expectations and the topend of FY24 guidance (725kt vs 660-690kt). Sales of 236kt were even stronger with March ships slipping into April. However, a realised price of US$840/t was ~14% below our expectations on sales timing and reflecting the weak market conditions. We have trimmed earnings on slightly higher costs and D&A which sees EPS -10%/-4%/-7% over FY25/26/27E and, after including more development capital, our NPV based price target is down 4% to A$2.50/sh. Unlike PLS, we are concerned about the lack of cost support for prices and retain a Sell rating.
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Ubs Pilbara MineralsStill downside to priceStrong production...
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Last
$2.87 |
Change
-0.020(0.69%) |
Mkt cap ! $8.638B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$2.79 | $2.92 | $2.78 | $84.74M | 29.64M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 173645 | $2.87 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$2.88 | 30000 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 173645 | 2.870 |
7 | 358196 | 2.860 |
11 | 1578007 | 2.850 |
10 | 74709 | 2.840 |
8 | 130803 | 2.830 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
2.880 | 30000 | 1 |
2.890 | 96111 | 9 |
2.900 | 562025 | 19 |
2.910 | 160497 | 9 |
2.920 | 370274 | 12 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 25/07/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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