So was reading an article in AFR yesterday. The reason for the drop in iron ore price is because the government of China wants to control carbon emissions. But at the same time it doesn’t want to hurt it’s economy. So let’s look at it constructively. In the past, in situations where they had to cut down on steel production main reason was profit mar
gins and this always resulted in higher grades ore demands decreasing and lower grades ore price increasing. But this time it’s different. This temporary cutdown on steel production is to meet their 2030 target of low emissions. So more than likely demand for higher grade ores will go up even further while lower grades from companies like FMG will suffer. Obviously the reason being that lower grades ore needs a lot of coking coal to take off impurities. Resulting in more carbon emissions. Which defeats the purpose. And not to mention the price of coking coal right now as they have banned Australian coking coal.
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