incidentally, here are three hypothetical forward looking EBIT scenarios annually over 10 years, using todays entire MC as a hypothetical investment. The notion of NPV varies considerably over these ranges depending on the chosen discount rate (i.e. risk) and IRR expectation etc - and this is an overly simplified version. My personal view, is this ducks back under 500M before heading over 700M within three years, with a reasonably possibility of closer to 1BN MC within 5, but many variables, interpretations and facts on certainty need to unfold over the next 18 months. Especially wrt to Federation getting away swiftly and capital spend on mill/infrastructure etc..
incidentally, here are three hypothetical forward looking EBIT...
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