AJQ (ASX) Ann: Kincora Oil &amp; Gas Project Update

Originally posted by orion123 ↑

Saudi is going to float part of ARAMCO and to do so it will need a much higher oil price. It has the ability to do this and obviously will. The AJQ price is where it is because no real money is in the game. Saudi will take the oil price to $US70-80 in the short term after which the natural shortages will kick in and it's upwards from there. Money and Markets (I think) has suggested that a small Cooper Basin explorer that is getting ready to produce gas and has signed an offtake sale with a $6 million up front payment and which is now selling sub 8c has a broker recommendation of 52c. Sounds a tad like our AJQ. Below is an ARAMCO opinion. By the way it's said in oil circles that "where goes Ghawar goes the world" and it's noted in various reports that some of Ghawars' wells are producing as high as 60% water. Interesting times indeed.

The CEO of Saudi Arabia's national oil company warned Monday of a coming global oil shortage that U.S. shale oil supplies and fracking won't be able to stop.
"If we look at the long-term situation of oil supplies, for example, the picture is becoming increasingly worrying," said Amin Nasser, CEO of Saudi Aramco, the world's largest oil company, speaking Monday at a conference in Istanbul.
Â Nasser said the biggest problem affecting supply in the next few years will be the current drop in fossil fuel investment and exploration, adding that shale oil development in the U.S. and elsewhere won't happen fast enough to help the world avoid a shortage.
"Financial investors are shying away from making much-needed large investments in oil exploration, long-term development and the related infrastructure," he said, according to Reuters. "Investments in smaller increments such as shale oil will just not cut it."
The comments come after President Trump visited Europe, touting his policy of "energy dominance" that looks to promote the U.S.'s oil and natural gas supply boom. Trump wants to boost oil and gas production on federal lands and begin exporting more of its fossil fuels abroad.
Saudi Arabia, which relies heavily on energy production for its kingdom's revenue and is trying to diversify, is planning to sell 5 percent of Aramco in an initial public offering next year.
Nasser said $1 trillion in oil and natural gas investment has been lost in the wake of the global oil glut that saw prices drop dramatically in 2014.
Recent projections show that 20 million barrels per day of new oil production will be needed in the next five years to meet growing demand and offset natural decline in older oil fields, he said.
"New discoveries are also on a major downward trend. The volume of conventional oil discovered around the world over the past four years has more than halved compared with the previous four," Nasser said.

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Orion - I believe the explorer referenced early in your post might be Real Energy (RLE). They are currently flow testing and have recently announced news of an MoU for gas supply which involves a $6 million gas prepayment to assist with funding. They also have an MoU with Santos for gas processing. It currently trades at $0.08 and there has been a broker report which references a $0.52 valuation - worth a read. I don't want to cross promote but would suggest having a read through their announcements and have a read through some of the posts on the thread.

I like what is happening at Armour and I am happy to sit patiently while they continue to move forward into the production and sales phases. It was in a different political and industry climate, but this has traded at a much higher share price in a position way off where we currently sit. Even accounting for the increase in the number of shares issued through some capital raising, the position the company is now in helps to show a great potential upside for shareholders.

I believe that news on the restart of gas production at the Kincora Project will bring interest and my opinion is that management are waiting for start up to be completed prior to finalising the capital raising involving existing shareholders.