KGN 2.63% $4.81 kogan.com ltd

The sell-off is illogical. Wait for the bounce on Friday.1. NPAT...

  1. 9,202 Posts.
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    The sell-off is illogical. Wait for the bounce on Friday.
    1. NPAT is positive, so equity would be up around $4M from 31 Dec 2023
    2. EBIT is similar to H1 levels, on a pro-rata basis
    3. Cash is down $49.2m, mainly due to a reduction in 31 Dec 2023 liabilities (predominately current) that were sitting ~$31m above normal levels present at 30 June 2023, share buybacks of $5.8m, $16.4m due to early payment of non-current liabilities relating to leases and the purchase of some inventory or PP&E, offset by ~$4m in net profit for the quarter
    4. The only red flags are declining Kogan First subscriber growth (11000 new subscribers in Q3), declining EBITDA in Feb24 and Mar24 of $4.1m vs $4.9m for Jan24. However, Kogan is still profitable in FY24, with ~$13m NPAT over 3 quarters vs $25.9m loss in FY23 (that's a $43m turnaround, assuming similar profit in Q4).
    5. KGN is cheap valued at approx 30 x NPAT or 15 x EBITDA after today's chaotic sell-off
    Last edited by prosperity: 24/04/24
 
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