CBR 0.00% 13.5¢ carbon revolution limited

Based on my reading of the docs - this is what i've come up...

  1. 23 Posts.
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    Based on my reading of the docs - this is what i've come up with. Worth noting, the deal is a stock deal, so it also assumes the SPAC share price holds / the SPAC does not face redemptions.

    I assume an AUDUSD $0.70

    CBR market Cap: A$27m ($0.13)

    Enterprise acquisition value price: US$197m (A$281m)
    Equity Financial facility provided by SPAC to CBR: US$60m (CBR only intends to draw A$29m according to their report)

    CBR balance sheet (AUD):
    Cash: $14m
    Debt: $20m

    New debt / deal / transition financing (AUD):
    Convertible debt: $2m (I don't know terms so will just treat this as debt)
    Proposed debt facility: $72m

    So we get (AUD):
    Acquisition price of $281m
    Minus debt of $94m
    Plus cash of $14m

    = $200m = $0.96 per share

    CBR equity value (AUD):
    Market cap: $27m
    Equity facility: $29m

    Total equity: $56m, approx. $0.27 per share

    so... if this is right, the upside is $0.69 (lol), or 255%. Massive execution risk.

    Note I have not accounted for the approx. $10 million of supplier payments that have been deferred, they mentioned this in their report
 
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