Based on my reading of the docs - this is what i've come up with. Worth noting, the deal is a stock deal, so it also assumes the SPAC share price holds / the SPAC does not face redemptions.
I assume an AUDUSD $0.70
CBR market Cap: A$27m ($0.13)
Enterprise acquisition value price: US$197m (A$281m) Equity Financial facility provided by SPAC to CBR: US$60m (CBR only intends to draw A$29m according to their report)
CBR balance sheet (AUD): Cash: $14m Debt: $20m
New debt / deal / transition financing (AUD): Convertible debt: $2m (I don't know terms so will just treat this as debt) Proposed debt facility: $72m
So we get (AUD): Acquisition price of $281m Minus debt of $94m Plus cash of $14m
= $200m = $0.96 per share
CBR equity value (AUD): Market cap: $27m Equity facility: $29m
Total equity: $56m, approx. $0.27 per share
so... if this is right, the upside is $0.69 (lol), or 255%. Massive execution risk.
Note I have not accounted for the approx. $10 million of supplier payments that have been deferred, they mentioned this in their report
CBR Price at posting:
13.0¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Held