Hunter2 - Very interesting.
So correct me if I have this wrong....
I assume the volatility on average is about 75%, if the underlying share price is $1.00 exactly at expiration, on investing $50K buying the LO options at $0.16 a piece today, then accounting for the Piggies...I will make a theoretical profit of $126,100, that's roughly $76,000 MORE than the shares over three years! (ie you could buy roughly 100,000 shares for $50K at roughly 0.50 a share, these would go up by $0.50 to $1.00, so 50 cent profit x 100,000 shares = $50K profit. Option profit is 126.1K so $126.1 - 50K = 76K greater profit on options).
Now that is a decent leverage proposition (though granted, there is additional risk, ie if the share doesn't go up then the options will be worthless at a given point (you can see that in the table))...though, as @oxxa23 said, at least you'd have some kicking and writhing of the share still but the option would be dead.
The next thing I did was plug it into a chart to see the relationship as the sp goes up in 50 cent increments as can be viewed in Hunter2's table, it's linear after the $1.00 point (labelled as 100 on the x axis, denoting cents). The below based on σ = 75%.
It's good to know, and always nice to visualise.
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32.5¢ |
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Mkt cap ! $126.5M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
31.5¢ | 33.5¢ | 31.5¢ | $120.9K | 377.1K |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 61296 | 32.5¢ |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
33.0¢ | 8000 | 1 |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 61296 | 0.325 |
3 | 52908 | 0.320 |
4 | 72679 | 0.315 |
6 | 76047 | 0.310 |
3 | 73333 | 0.305 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.330 | 8000 | 1 |
0.335 | 30000 | 1 |
0.340 | 10055 | 2 |
0.345 | 12996 | 4 |
0.350 | 55534 | 8 |
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