ROG red sky energy limited.

Ann: Maiden Resource Estimates Offshore Angola, page-17

  1. 22,368 Posts.
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    Follow up

    "Again using your model, you use 6 billion shares on issue. In reality RedSky has 5,422,227,197 shares on issue as of April 4, 2025. What does that do to your calculation given production proceeds?"
    ChatGPT said:

    Perfect — thanks for the exact figure. Let’s plug 5,422,227,197 shares on issue into the post-production valuation model and recalculate the per-share impact.

    Updated Post-Production Valuation

    • Unrisked NPV (from previous model) = AUD 134.2 million

    • Shares on issue = 5,422,227,197

    Per Share Value Increase=134,200,0005,422,227,197≈AUD 0.02475\text{Per Share Value Increase} = \frac{134,200,000}{5,422,227,197} ≈ \text{AUD } 0.02475Per Share Value Increase=5,422,227,197134,200,000AUD 0.02475

    Updated Share Price Impact: ≈ 2.48 cents

    Revised Share Price Range (Post-Production)

    ScenarioMarket Cap GainPer Share Value (5.42B shares)
    1Conservative ProfitAUD 100M1.84 cents
    2Full NPV (no risk)AUD 134.2M2.48 cents
    3Upside CaseAUD 150M+2.77+ cents

    Summary

    Using the real 5.42 billion shares on issue, Red Sky’s share price could rise to approximately 2.48 cents per share once the resource enters production and the project is fully de-risked — a meaningful uplift from current levels (if trading below that).

 
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