ARR Website Total Dec-18 1,426 3,174 4,600 Mar-18 1,978 Increase sales = ~$550k ARR 2,622 Lost client = -$480k ARR 4,600 Jun-18 2,530 Growth continues @ $550k ARR 1,722 Lost client = -$900k ARR 4,252 Mar-19 4,186 Annualised ARR growth = 112% 1,894 Assume modest growth 10% 6,080 Multiple 10.0 x Based on June ARR 5.0 x Based on June ARR Valuation 25,300 8,610 33,910 SP @ 533m shares 0.064
I'm surprised this is trading at these levels once you split the two business lines apart. I understand why it's trading at these levels when just looking at the headline ARR of ~$4.25m (adjusting for client losses) but if you split the two business lines into Website backup vs Email backup, it should be trading at much higher levels however it might take another 1 or 2 quateries for the market to work that out.
Email business should trade on ~10x Rev multiple based on comps growing at ~100% p.a. revenue e.g. ELO/LVT and the Website business at say 5x Rev multiple. Based on my analysis above, the valuation translates into ~6.4cps. To me it suggests a fair amount of upside!!
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ARREmailWebsiteTotalDec-18 1,426 3,174 4,600 Mar-18 1,978...
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Last
$3.40 |
Change
0.010(0.29%) |
Mkt cap ! $238.8M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$3.39 | $3.41 | $3.39 | $250.9K | 73.81K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 6625 | $3.40 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$3.41 | 3828 | 4 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 6625 | 3.400 |
1 | 2000 | 3.350 |
1 | 1353 | 3.270 |
1 | 308 | 3.250 |
3 | 2622 | 3.200 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
3.410 | 328 | 3 |
3.420 | 89 | 1 |
3.430 | 90 | 1 |
3.440 | 98 | 1 |
3.450 | 5585 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 18/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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