Hi Cara,
I would put the geological chance of success at around 30%
Trap = 0.9 Robust anticline on good quality 3D seismic. I can't see any fault breech's on the depth structure map that would be potential leak paths for hydrocarbon's from the trap.
Source = 0.8 Prospect is adjacent to the principal hydrocarbon source kitchen, the Nappamerri Trough. The closest well Kinta-1, ~3km to the north, intersected gas charged sands in both the Patchawarra and Toolachee intervals
Seal = 0.7 Seal demonstrated at Kinta-1; gas charged sands sealed by overlying shale?
Reservoir = 0.6
Kind regards OldGeo
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