BML 4.76% 10.0¢ boab metals limited

My favourite part;"AnalysisThe resource upgrade was well ahead...

  1. 275 Posts.
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    My favourite part;

    "Analysis
    The resource upgrade was well ahead of our expectations – especially a
    >50% increase in the Indicated Resource. We were hoping for a 3-4mt
    increase so a 5.8mt increase is a terrific result.
    This increase may result in a increased mining rate/plant throughput to
    say 1.5mtpa which could increase Pb production by 50% to ~ 45kt of Pb
    pa and 1.5moz of Ag. The optimal economics will be determined in the
    optimised PFS which is due in Q1 CY’20.
    The current capital estimate is $95.4m and we would hope this would
    not increase too much on an expanded plant scenario.
    Both the lead and silver price have increased lately as shown in the
    chart below with the lead price back above US$1.00/lb after hitting
    a year low of US$0.80/lb in May’19. The PFS assumed a Pb price of
    US$0.92/lb and Ag price of US$15.4/oz and AUD of $0.70 (A$1.31/lb Pb
    and A$22/oz Ag)
    The current price is A$1.48/lb for Pb and $26/oz or 13% higher for Pb
    and 18% higher for silver than PFS assumptions.
    Our heavily risk adjusted valuation of 2.7cps assumes a LT US$1.00/
    lb Pb and US$18/oz Ag. This valuation is based on the PFS estimates
    of a1mtpa operation and doesn’t factor in any potential upside of an
    expanded production scenario.
    We maintain our Speculative Buy and $0.025/sh PT. The resource
    upgrade is pleasing and the potential for Sorby Hills to become a long
    life, high margin lead/silver producer. "

    Currently trading at 40% of the PT, a discount of around 60%.... market will forget about spoofy biotechs soon enough...
 
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