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$2.84 mesoblast limited

Whoa! What would the MC/ SP be on this alone? In the meantine,...

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ddwn

13,021 Posts.

3561

19/07/18

17:24

Post #: 34457001
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Originally posted by Treed ↑

Just for fun, some wild speculation as I like to do from time to time. You might want to double check my sums or assumptions.

The base figure I'm using for heart failure is from a translated page 3 of the Tasly Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. disclosure document,

The prevalence of heart failure in China is 1.3%, and it is estimated that there are at least 10 million patients with different degrees.

So I will take that at 10% of 10 million, 1 million people who might need treatment to begin with, at a fairly conservative, I hope, $10,000 per treatment dose, should only be once per patient if it works as planned.

That gives $10,000,000,000 or $10 billion, in your currency of choice, to treat 1 million people per annum and we know the royalty is double digits so I will take the lowest at 10%.

That makes One Billion dollars payable to MSB.

Would that make a difference to the share price?

And there are probably some other products too, in other countries.

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Whoa!
What would the MC/ SP be on this alone?
In the meantine, I'll enjoy the ride, so let get over $2 first

MSB Price at posting: $1.76 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
6 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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(20min delay)
Last $2.84		Change -0.030(1.05%)		Mkt cap ! $3.637B

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
$2.83	$2.87	$2.82	$1.838M	646.6K

Buyers (Bids)

No.	Vol.	Price($)
4	5269	$2.84

Sellers (Offers)

Price($)	Vol.	No.
$2.85	21651	10

View Market Depth

No.	Vol.	Price($)
5	19964	2.830
12	140342	2.820
17	224604	2.810
18	2118856	2.800
3	41720	2.790

Price($)	Vol.	No.
2.840	10203	7
2.850	31168	7
2.860	29875	12
2.870	49436	12
2.880	58778	9

Last trade - 10.45am 28/01/2025 (20 minute delay)

MSB (ASX) Chart