Making Aud10 a tonne on 5m =Aud50m. assuming they can do this for 15m tonnes then yes, it is not out of the realms of possibility that they can largely pay down their debt by 2017. Remember they only need to show that they are making progress & then they will be able to refinance out to 2020+. For those of you that said sayonara by xmas, hold that thought until at least June 2016