Taking the longer term view and considering everything we learnt...

  1. 409 Posts.
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    Taking the longer term view and considering everything we learnt from the recent investor update webinar, I'm thinking the following:

    Azer Cell is now our best chance of getting a significant commercial outcome
    It will cost $30 Million US to complete the phase 2/3 trail
    It will take up to 3 years.
    Value of Azer Cell with FDA approval has to be 1-2 Billion US IMO

    So a cost of $30 Million US to achieve a value of 1-2 billion US in 3 years is worth the risk to me. I've now reset my expectations and am prepared to wait for 3 years based on the above and that's putting no value on the rest of the platform.

    I assume the BOD tried to negotiate partnership deals but obviously they didn't want to give away too much upside.

    We also must be due the R&D rebate soon which could be more than $20 Million.

    All IMO.



 
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