ATG 2.53% 40.5¢ articore group limited

Ann: Notice of FY2021 Full Year Results and Investor Call, page-2

  1. 5,928 Posts.
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    Whilst we wait for the report on 19th I wanted to calculate the intrinsic value based upon past reports, and hopefully adjust with future projections:

    Just trying to value RBL and need to baseline the Working Capital to get to FCC. There are 2 ways for this i.e.
    1. Balance sheet CA-CL (Current FY-Last FY)
    2. Cash Flow statement
    Whilst I have read that I should not loose sleep on this (difference in WC from BS and CF) but the gap is too big. What I am finding is a big variation so need some guidance.

    Example 1.
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3469/3469704-8977bfdd25c3dce3436a046246b5e742.jpg


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3469/3469702-a43bd50c3c7a3fa60ef59877e5db2ef3.jpg
    WC= 57.42 Giving FCC = $79.84
    Example 2

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3469/3469711-63774ac855849568306712de7898b77f.jpg

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3469/3469712-f3dd499447b732e1e5dd6697e1386d23.jpg
    WC= $7.31m giving FCC = $33.35 (estimate)

    Therefore based on these FCC I have the intrinsic values

    1. FCC 79.84, Growth at 24% equating to SP of $3.74

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3469/3469739-f0622689372bb3d7a04d842111db0299.jpg


    2. FCC 33.35 , yet to work, and dont want to proceed until I am able to understand such a big difference in Working Capital....

    Can any one suggest ideas on why such a big difference and how to treat this.!!!!!

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