Dear PB,
Most of us are not here for a dollar - that is the main difference - the 30% new holders are here for a cycle play of 10-20x returns.
The spot price rise we are talking is not $5 or $8 like in 2018 but a sustained $35 plus.... the correlation for a project moving into production on an up commodity cycle can be researched with ample examples (10-20x returns are not uncommon - watch WKT as a current case study in play if you are struggling with the concept).
Actually us holders who have arrived for the cycle, are happy to buy $1 of value for less than 10c, or at 0.6c - a 95% discount to potential 5 year future fair value. Let the sellers exit; let the DFS be produced; let there be further dilution to ensure Tiris is financed; then what happens when the cashflow at 3 mil pounds of production in 2023 (on $65 spot) hits US$100m @ a 3x multiple = US$300m cap which equates to over 15c AUD per share assuming doubling of current shares on issue.
Future new dilution; Con Note; Plus Driller exit = US$30m of overhang (2019-2021) Vs US$100m in cashflow in potentially one year lets observe what wins the day over the next 5 years. Total Tiris project net cashflow is likely to be over US$500m after tax over the mine lifetime.
In summary: As the U cycle unfolds AEE's sp potential is +0.5-0.8c on average for a US$5m move over the next +$40 spot move; this can be ensured by stock buy backs or increasing dividend payments as the free cashflow will be exceptional as the spot moves through US$65.
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Dear PB,Most of us are not here for a dollar - that is the main...
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Last
15.5¢ |
Change
0.005(3.33%) |
Mkt cap ! $128.1M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
15.0¢ | 15.5¢ | 15.0¢ | $38.03K | 248.3K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
7 | 236599 | 15.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
15.5¢ | 72000 | 4 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
5 | 236265 | 0.150 |
8 | 715755 | 0.145 |
8 | 860571 | 0.140 |
2 | 330000 | 0.135 |
4 | 840997 | 0.130 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.155 | 72000 | 4 |
0.160 | 350255 | 6 |
0.165 | 129000 | 2 |
0.170 | 323837 | 8 |
0.175 | 227300 | 4 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 11/10/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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