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Here's that summary I said I'd post - Crux Interview Lindsay...

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    Here's that summary I said I'd post -

    Crux Interview Lindsay 16/5/24 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlMIw4dWfhc

    - Biggest food aggregator (Carrinho) will probably buy 80% of our product

    - Can sell at fertiliser prices rather than phosphate rock prices

    - Stage 1 just under 200kt pa will sell into the domestic market, to mainly small holders by Carrinho, that will absorb all our product,

    - About 1 tonne per hectare which lasts for about 4 years & triples yields

    - Digging & transporting, the fixed costs and processing costs and the transportation are about a third each

    - If we double capacity the fixed costs come down quite a bit saving $20-30/t so looking at $117/t for a product worth $300, this is delivered cost to customers port

    - We will also focus on the larger farms, probably 10 or so, below 3-4-5k hectares we’re not really interested

    - The biggest farm is 40k hectares sugar plantation, product works really well there, we’ll sell direct to them (Biocom)

    - Much better prices in Angola where it replaces fertiliser, if we export it it competes with all the other rocks & doesn’t have that advantage

    - Very hard for big fertiliser companies to compete, because the Angolan market is our size & is smaller than the ship load size they’d need to compete.

    we can go up the coast with a 5kt vessel

    - We price our product on landed cost at their port compared to other products, not offering a huge discount, but the product will be there in their shed at the start of every season

    - Re Funding, IDC $14m, we raised some money 2 weeks ago, we have some strategic Investors willing to give us the rest of the equity (with a smirk)

    then goes on to talk about the local banks, with 7% money available, we will take advantage of that

    - Re IDC interest rates, its pretty good its also strategic, they were the financier for the oil refinerey, so know Angola.

    Also on of their entities interested in buying - doubling our capacity for consumption in S Africa, if that happens out costs come down, their debt is derisked

    - Our payback about 2 years (re debt)

    - Financing based on 1st stage, it costs $40m of which we’ve spent $16m, to double capacity we only have to spend $4m

    Thats because we were working on a recirculating flow sheet, it only goes thru once, what could only do 150 can now do 500

    - We now have 5 years of field trials, more than anyone else, so we know how, where & why our product works, enabling us to change our flow sheet

    - Crux - “so IDC is one route, equity is just from markets” Lindsay - plus one or 2 strategic discussions

    Crux - “were they from outside Angola or Africa?” Lindsay - “bit of both, within Africa and outside Africa, there’s a fair bit of appetite inside Africa for it..”

    - Lorenzo mandate big emphasis on agriculture, 2 million hectares of Brazil style will have the same effect on their economy as oil & gas

    - Will convert Carrinho into a contract in the next few months, under decree local market has to buy Carrinhos product, they have to buy our product.

    - Re decree has to be at a competitive price, can’t be twice the price, contract likely to be bigger than MOU

    - Our present stage 1 is probably the same value as the DFS which included stage 2, spent $16m, transport reduced with new site, capex reduced by $10m

    So our NPV should be similar to the 2022 DFS and we’ve got an expansion just on the horizon

    - IFC is funding the training programs behind Carrinho

    - Our figures are actually very conservative

    - Re share price - we also have one of our shareholders in a little bit of trouble, causing a little bit of a hang over, once thats gone I think (talked over) 20 min mark

    getting a lot of enquiries from Africa, bringing IDC in has changed peoples perspective

    - Blames engineering contract for 6-8 month delay, covid related.

    - Although Angola slow, it offers more certainty, title risk is very solid, they are very supportive of the incumbant, we once lost a license, it took a long time

    they should have taken it off us much earlier



    - GA Looking to structure up the ammonia project so it’s low capex high return like the phosphate

    - People out there looking to do Build Own Operate on the ammonia end, then we can take the fertiliser, get the capex way down, get the returns up

    - Planning to start construction in July

    - Crusher is a simple dual speed cage mill, takes it from 4mm to 1mm

 
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