Hi JF,
If you going to ask questions like that here's a link to how to model expected gold price (form the World Gold Council) I find of some value.
https://www.gold.org/goldhub/portfolio-tools/gold-valuation-framework
Don't ask me to come up with anything like it for bitcoin I have NFI.
Actually I'm not sure anyone has, there just isn't the historical statistical base available as far as I'm concerned IMVVVHO.
[ Don't you guys say I don't share my tool(s).'-if you pardon the expression.]
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