Well, it seems a few people on this forum believe that 50:50 is too conservative. So, if I redo the expected value (EV) calculation based on 65:35, with a 5X uplift if successful, then OPT's expected value is $2.24, minus the discount rate of return for a wait time of 1 year and 3 months. Complications arise as Lucentis and Eylea trials are not mutually exclusive; therefore, failure in one is a strong indicator of failure in the other, and of course, success in one will foreshadow success in the other. Success in both could very well result in 8-10X valuation $6.90.
Based on the above from my perspective OPT is a strong speculative buy.
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Last
49.0¢ |
Change
0.040(8.89%) |
Mkt cap ! $603.2M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
46.0¢ | 49.0¢ | 45.5¢ | $3.430M | 7.316M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 7000 | 48.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
49.0¢ | 156010 | 6 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 7000 | 0.480 |
1 | 24010 | 0.475 |
1 | 24010 | 0.470 |
1 | 24010 | 0.465 |
3 | 46810 | 0.460 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.490 | 156010 | 6 |
0.495 | 524010 | 2 |
0.500 | 24010 | 1 |
0.505 | 24010 | 1 |
0.520 | 13000 | 1 |
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