ELT 8.33% 13.0¢ elementos limited

yeah sorry about my last post, I didn't really have time to...

  1. 600 Posts.
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    yeah sorry about my last post, I didn't really have time to write a detailed explanation of why I pulled that figure out. Here is some info:

    Column 1 Column 2
    0 tons per annum 2440 @ 40,000 per ton 97,600,000.00
    1 aisc per ton, per annum 28,792,000.00
    2 total profit 68,808,000.00
    3 net profit (30% tax rate) 48,165,600.00
    4 earnings per share 0.26
    5 estimate of instrinsic value, using average pe ratio 10 as per industry averages 2.60
    6 total market cap instrinsic value 481,991,192.00
    7 less capex 100,000,000.00
    8   382,000,000.00
    9 per share 2.06

    Now this is US dollars, therefore: $531,759,662 estimated market cap, or $2.87 per share.

    This is very conservative, with a high margin of safety:
    *ELT have quoted 52mill capex. I have used $100m, to allow for budget overruns.
    *As per dec 3rd announcement, annual tonnage may increase.
    *No value has been put on the cleveland project! This is a very large margin of safety. The cleveland project is very viable at current Sn prices, just not as advanced in project.
    *PE used is 10. Mr Market will ultimately decide this, higher is a possibility, as well as lower.
    *I have used total diluted shares, including all options/performance rights. I haven't included the cash injection from exercise of such options.
    *And don't forget... ELT have ZERO debt.
    *But obviously most importantly... I have used $40,000USD per ton. Current price is 43955 (3mnth contract, LME). Where to from here? Likely upwards over 50K, but no one knows the answer to this.
 
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