AIA has a NZ $12bn mkt cap and is trading on a 23 x EV/EBITDA multiple (assuming 2019 aero EBITDA and 2022 property EBITDA), pretty much at a historic high multiple even with the 10yr bond rate much higher than when it reached this multiple in 2019.
A takeover of this kind of asset would need to be at a 30%+ premium, which is minimum $16bn and also a 30x multiple which is silly even for a great asset.
1. Morrison & Co doesn't have even close to that amount of equity
2. Buying an asset at close to a 2% free cash flow doesnt make sense when debt costs are 5%+
Great asset and i'm a holder but I wouldn't be surprised if in 2-3 yrs time we are at a similar price as today.
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Last
$6.90 |
Change
0.010(0.15%) |
Mkt cap ! $10.15B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$6.90 | $6.94 | $6.82 | $3.514M | 512.0K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
5 | 3729 | $6.88 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$6.90 | 6732 | 9 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
7 | 8098 | 6.920 |
24 | 7959 | 6.910 |
16 | 2691 | 6.900 |
4 | 1941 | 6.890 |
3 | 2760 | 6.880 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
6.930 | 3925 | 3 |
6.940 | 9417 | 4 |
6.950 | 8854 | 5 |
6.960 | 5087 | 3 |
6.970 | 4006 | 3 |
Last trade - 15.02pm 13/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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