CVN 10.8% 16.5¢ carnarvon energy limited

Ann: Phoenix South-3 Drilling Update, page-53

  1. Ya
    6,809 Posts.
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    It has been a game of musical chairs since 2009. Here's the timeline.

    - CVN picked up WA-435-P in 2009 based on the 2 BP wells.

    - Finder were awarded 436, 437 & 438P. Both did a deal to share 50-50 equity in the 4 permits.

    - By March 2011 they finished a 3Dseis survey over Phoenix.

    - In 2012, both farmed out 20% each to Apache & then dropped another 10% each to bring on JXNEx onboard as JV partners.

    - Apache sold these permits alongwith the rest of its portfolio to Brkf-Mqr JV for USD 2.1bil - 0.225mil = USD 1.9bil (2P-221 mmboe), and another portfolio comprising of Wheatstone-JB-Balnaves to Woodside.

    - In 2016 Finder gave its 20% for a royalty deal with Apache & JXN sold its 20% to Apache.

    - Today we have QE-CVN as 80-20 equity holders.

    QE could bring in a 3rd player for the appraisals if it wanted to save cash burn, but that would b a bit early & cheap at this point in time in my view.

    --------

    Similar chain of events happened in the Exmouth sub-basin back in 1997, when WPL picked up WA-271P & discovered Enfield, Laverda & Vincent oilfields before selling 40% in 2004 to Mitsui for USD434mil.

    They didn't have much competition during the permit award b'coz the Area had a well with biodegraded oil (16 API) at relatively shallow depths to develop.

    Fast fwd to 2018, there's 4 active oilfields with FPSO's & 1 that's offline now (Stybarrow 60 mmbbls) producing 15-21 API crude oil via dual-tri laterals wells & water injector combinations.

    So yes CVN's find of 49.6 API should b 'special' with a 80m net oilpay zone with 20% porosity & 82% oil saturation, something not many analysts would have heard off in the west (read the sarcasm bit from the C/Suisse fella mayb he should look up the costs/revenue etc for the 5 recent oil dev in Oz with 8-10+ year fieldlife).

    For now though the JV needs to appraise D#1 downdip to establish a cut-off for the water leg in the Caley. for future water injectors in my view. Swingby next week.
 
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