CVN 10.8% 16.5¢ carnarvon energy limited

imho - the reason the stock is being smashed is 2-fold: 1. the...

  1. 4,717 Posts.
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    imho - the reason the stock is being smashed is 2-fold:

    1. the results from PS-3 suggest a tight reservoir, it may be "solveable" (understanding the stress direction / fracture orientation / angled well bores), and the brief info the company released suggests low net-to-gross, meaning that if it flows, then vols may get smaller ........as a result - the aggregate volumetrics across Roc and PS may not meet the min threshold ......

    2. mr market understands that appraisal of Dor - may require some additional cash .......

    as with all juniors - there are periods of time when nothing happens, and then times when it all happens .......

    for CVN - they need to make some rational decisions regarding capital allocation:

    1. they could sell 50-70% of Buffalo, for say 20-25m and a part carry ........this would be positive given it needs 20m spent to see if the upside case exsists !
    2. come out with a new resource statement .....as people have said - its abt Dorado now ......
    3. hopefully - Quad wants to appraise this one asap .....
    4. farm down Lab....

    I took profits ....and now don't hold ......

    I still think Dorado has "large upside" ........

    but - mr market wont pay-up in the short-term - b/c of perceptions over reservoir risk (ie how it varies over the greater Dor-Roc structure).....

    rgds
    V_H
 
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Last
16.5¢
Change
-0.020(10.8%)
Mkt cap ! $295.1M
Open High Low Value Volume
17.5¢ 17.8¢ 16.0¢ $3.525M 20.49M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
3 441949 16.5¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
17.0¢ 2048593 4
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Last trade - 16.10pm 19/07/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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