To be fair other than knowing the counter parties there isn't much change between this announcement and the one made on 13th of December. Suggesting it resulted in the price rise is a bit naive.
Your explanation is far closer to the mark, plus I suspect some leftover insto buying as volumes have been quite strong this week.
As for the actual deal. Atlas announcement says they expect to earn operating margins of $15-20/t. If we use the upper end of that we can say that is USD$15. Costs to atlas might be c. USD$30-40/t for transport/shipping etc. If we work on DSO sales of USD$90-100 and work backwards that means we might be getting about USD$35-45/t. Mining and crushing costs are probably about $10-15/t depending on strip ratio. So we could potentially make anywhere between USD$20-35 as margins.
These are my estimates only and I could well be wrong. But based on that 100kt a month would net something like A$2.6-4.6m/mth.
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$3.11 |
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Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$3.07 | $3.13 | $3.05 | $43.80M | 14.14M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 5091 | $3.10 |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 5091 | 3.100 |
1 | 1000 | 3.090 |
8 | 113269 | 3.080 |
9 | 377532 | 3.070 |
10 | 138720 | 3.060 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
3.120 | 35606 | 14 |
3.130 | 136697 | 24 |
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