https://www. a f r . com/wealth/investing/lithium-prices-to-keep-rising-as-demand-outpaces-supply-20230508-p5d6m3
Lithium prices to keep rising as demand outpaces supply
Nicki Bourlioufas
May 16
Lithium prices are set to extend their recovery from a brutal sell-off of 70 per cent as demand outstrips weaker-than-expected lithium supply growth, underpinned by the growing take-up of electric vehicles to meet carbon emission targets.
The recent rise in lithium prices follows a horror five-month period during which tumbled more than 70 per cent after China curbed electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in January, a move that led to faltering demand and rising inventories.
Now those inventories are winding back and at least one broker, Morgan Stanley, believes lithium markets have reached a turning point.
Lithium is an important element to create renewable energy given its use in lithium-ion batteries, used to power EVs and to store energy generated from renewable sources such as solar and wind power. As more countries move towards clean energy, the demand for lithium is expected to keep on rising, which will push up its price, even as supply increases.
Lithium is an important element in lithium-ion batteries, which are used to power electric vehicles.
“I don’t see lithium as a one-off flash in the pan. The demand for lithium carbonate, or battery-grade lithium, is increasing at a rapid rate because of the rate of EV production increases,” says Shane Langham, a senior private wealth adviser with Sequoia Wealth and author of the Charting Wisdom technical analysis report.
we have seen large automakers such as Ford, GM, Stellantis, and Tesla becoming involved directly supporting [lithium] projects with offtake, debt and some equity participation. They see the need to secure more supply, to meet their 2024 and beyond delivery plans.”
That’s because EVs require a lot of lithium to power movement. According to Langham, a 70 kWh Tesla car battery contains around 62.6 kilograms of lithium carbonate and with Tesla having produced 1.31 million EVs in 2022, this works out roughly at 82,000 tonnes of lithium carbonate from Tesla alone.
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