NST 3.15% $13.84 northern star resources ltd

I agree with your comments about the likely effects of all the...

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    I agree with your comments about the likely effects of all the money printing etc, but not your comments about Covid-19..

    You say:
    "When you look at covid in this context you soon realise that it pales in comparison to the common flu let alone heart disease and cancer, yet we never shut down our economy for these."

    Not so.

    Because of the prior acquired immunity, seasonal flu only infects about 10% of the population.
    It has a case fatality rate of 0.1%, which means it has a population fatality rate of 0.01%.
    The evidence from South Korea, the country which has been aggressively testing to find corona cases for the longest time, is that corona has a case fatality rate of about 0.7%.
    As corona is novel, it has the potential to infect the entire population.
    So, on a population basis, the population fatality comparison is 0.7% for corona and 0.01% for seasonal flu.
    That is a 70 to 1 ratio.

    Even seasonal flu can clog our hospitals.
    Consequently, 70 times the case load, concentrated into a short peak because the virus is novel, will utterly overwhelm the system.

    Let's see how long Sweden sticks to its laissez faire policy about the virus.
    My prediction is that Sweden, with a population of only 10.1 million, will have 23,000 identified cases by 19 April and 2000 or more deaths by then.

    Cheers.


    Last edited by Downanout: 06/04/20
 
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