PER (ASX) Ann: Positive feedback received on Paediatric Investigation Plan

Originally posted by samfiodiving: ↑

For all the Newbis that may have just joined us or are not quite up to speed as yet

Speculation around this forum is as to whether Sarepta have just raised $500mil to add to their treasure chest of $1.6bil in cash, to possibly partner up with ANP for a significant amount

Now those that have been here a while have read my own thoughts on a deal and an eventual Sp of $19.00 ++ in possibly the next 6 years if you want to hang around that long and the ducks line up for ANP

Wow some of you may say this guy is a nutter pie in the sky

RAMPER

Disallowed SALESMAN LOL

So lets just take a look where I am coming from, below you will see an extract taken from our August 2020 presentation from our own board

as in Value creation Potential of Atl1102 for DMD

Value Creation Potential of ATL1102 for DMD

• Exondys 51 – first FDA approved treatment for DMD (2016)

• Exondys 51 is only useful in 13% of boys with the exon 51 mutation. Vyondys 53, approved in 2019 for approx. 8% boys with exon 53 mutation.
• Both received accelerated approval based on the surrogate endpoint of dystrophin increase in skeletal muscle observed in some treated patients • Sarepta market capitalisation has grown from ~US$60m (July 2012) to $3 billion on FDA approval of Exondys 51- today ~US$12 billion

• Inflammation (the target of ATL1102 in DMD) contributes to disease progression in all DMD patients

• Cost per patient of Exondys 51 is US$300K/year

• 1st quarter 2020 total net revenue for Sarepta – US$100 million

• Roche recently acquired EU rights from Sarepta for early stage gene therapy for DMD for US$1.15 billion upfront with US$1.7 billion in milestones plus royalties on sales

Now the two points I want you to take on board are in the title

Value Creation Potential of ATL1102 for DMD

and the second

The value of the recent deal with Roche again from the presentation

Roche recently acquired EU rights from Sarepta for early stage gene therapy for DMD for US$1.15 billion upfront with US$1.7 billion in milestones plus royalties on sales

YES

You are reading this correct,

Sarepta received US$1.5bil up front payment which consisted of US$750,000,000 in cash and US$400,000,000 in Equity

Now this figure was for a deal for EARLY STAGE GENE THERAPY for the rights to the EU this was for a Ph2 trial with no Data as the trial was incomplete when the deal took place so it was basically a blind deal, And most on this forum now are aware of the end result basically the trial fell on its face HMM

This Led to a drop in Sareptas MC basically over night going from $15bil down to a little over $7bil YES $7 – 8bil loss overnight more or less

So why all the hype and fuss with ANP

Well ANP have at this stage a successful phase 2 trial with outstanding results in both, physical and scientific data, in fact one of the leading Professors in the field of Dmd has said, these are results that have never, ever been seen before in these boys with this disease, with the reduction in fact fraction and basically stopped further muscle degeneration over the 6 month period, something you would never expect to have seen as you could almost guarantee increased fat and decreased muscle mass over the same period without treatment.

Since this time we have backed up 1102 with further scientific data, which can and will be followed through in other indications, of which patents have now been registered for.

So looking at all the above value creation potential, I am expecting Yes Expecting no less, I don't really care how the figures stack up so long as the end return is of similar value

So yes we are sat at 31.5c today but you add a partnership to the tune of Roches deal which equated to US $2.85Billion inc milestones + ROYALTIES

You tell me what we should be worth

BUT NO WAIT there is more

This would be for only 50% of the global rights for 1102 in boys with DMD

So therefore if a deal is done for around that figure then one would have to take into account of our other Global 50% would carry initially a similar value equating to a further valuation of an extra $2.85Bil

So if the partnership can be done to the same magnitude, and I see no reason why it shouldn't, we could be looking at adding an initial further $5.7bil in value in a parabolic way

Then you look at a successful PH2 trial in RRMS awaiting funding to crossover into another unmet field in SPMS

Then look at a successful PH2 trial in Acromegaly awaiting funding to advance

Then up and coming further indications, that we have existing patents on, and the new indications patents applied for.

You may begin to understand the excitement building here especially with Sareptas recent raising of $500mil @ market, just trying to join the dots and not the only one

So if you have just jumped onboard here, as a day trader or looking short term, if the above pans out, this could well be your lucky day, think long and hard before you pull the trigger on those short term shares you have just acquired.

Am I a Disallowed SALESMAN

just ask yourself

Where did my information come from

Couple of side notes whilst I am here @mephistophles

I had no problem with you divulging your holdings here, in-fact I admire you as a single mum trying to do what you are doing, and also the Rangies and lambos, just a bit of fun

We are excited of course we are, are we not allowed to be without being classed as egotistical, That is the problem across and throughout Australia at this moment in time the
FUN POLICE ARE EVERYWHERE

some folks should lighten up and enjoy

Second side note

@sankaido
I saw your reply to my post but treated it with the same regard as the readers on this forum did
Zero cred please do not engage me again

Will finish by saying

GL to all both Lts and those that have just arrived

fingers crossed

See how we go

Expand

Good on you Sam.

Something that has me excited is recalling that MD was talking about 1102 being a potential for a "platform drug", but that this was before the proteomics data. The potential looks even brighter now!!

Re the quality of any deal, the talent injected into the board know that there's an unmet need and large players struggling for something that works. The fact that our results stunned even Prof Voit can't be undersold here; we appear to have something very special here.

To think... after all the years you've been in this stock, you could almost blink or step out for a cuppa and miss it taking off!

I'm certainly strapped in and waiting

p.s. Not that it matters, but if I said "single mum" I meant "single income". It's my wife that does all the hard yards with the endless appointments etc. Hopefull she can have a breather next year

(20min delay)
Last 7.3¢		Change -0.003(3.95%)		Mkt cap ! $65.81M

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
7.6¢	7.6¢	7.3¢	$52.95K	711.3K

No.	Vol.	Price($)
3	145970	0.072
3	30297	0.070
1	10000	0.068
1	15000	0.065
1	39682	0.063

Price($)	Vol.	No.
0.075	1991	1
0.076	29363	1
0.080	120000	1
0.085	50000	1
0.086	57632	2


Last 7.3¢		Change -0.003 ( 3.95 %)
Open	High	Low	Volume
7.5¢	7.5¢	7.3¢	69141
Last updated 14.55pm 19/04/2024 ?

Good on you Sam.Something that has me excited is recalling that...

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