DYOR.
Here's a quick scenario. I've tried to be conservative in the following ways:
At 200 koz pa production this would generate AUD $92M after-tax earnings for NVA.
- Assumed that the starter pit is based on block A. We know this is the higher-grade part of the resource. I've assumed this accounts for 3.7 Moz of the total resource. They will add to this at time with extensions.
- 60% conversion of resource to reserve.
- 90% for recoveries ( test work indicates 92%+ )
- AISC at USD $929 is I think conservative ( a rough 5 years of escalation on the AISC for Victoria Gold from their study )
- I used USD $250M for CAPEX but AUD $250M might be closer to the mark
- Allowed for the 2% royalty built into the JV
- Used a 7% premium on the exchange rate.
I think they might achieve better AISC that the figures I have used.
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