GNP 1.41% $2.16 genusplus group ltd

The company looks solid & growing alot faster than $SSM. Higher...

  1. 227 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 49
    The company looks solid & growing alot faster than $SSM. Higher gross margins also.

    The acquisition of connect engineering looks fantastic IMO. Essentially paid $2.27m when you exclude cash from acquired company & would have seen a NPAT of $2.5m, that's over a 100% ROI!!! The sector trades on or about 5-7x EBITDA. FY22 forecast EBITDA is $34-$38m.
    Let's pick the conservative figure of $34m EBITDA for FY22.
    Lets use a 6x EBITDA multiple as this is around sector median.
    $34m x 6x = $204m MC.
    155.6m Shares out.
    I believe it is fairly worth $1.30/share in FY22.
    Based on a share price of $1.12 at close today I would expect a minimum return of 16% over the next year.
    If management have been conservative with the EBITDA & they outperform with the connect engineering acquisition having a full year of operations & we hit the $38m EBITDA & use the 6x multiple should give us a share price of $1.46 in FY22, IRR 30%.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3683/3683489-6a4bcca8333fba1aca8f3d81cea48bc4.jpg

 
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