hi @hicks58 wasn't sure which part of my comment you disagreed with, or whether it was all of it.
In terms of SP, my views are a little pessimistic at the moment based on the complete lack of movement following the recent positive announcements and as far back as the DFS. I guess it is what it is, but at least this gives me a chance to keep accumulating at these prices.
In terms of further dilution to fund the 35% equity component of the project ($115M AUD) versus selling a part of the project, my comments were based on the DFS indicating an FCF of US 153M/yr from yr 5 of the project and what (worst case) we would possibly be raising equity at.
My rough numbers in terms of potential shareholder returns from Yr 5 on for the two different scenarios are below:
- Equity - I've picked 20c/share for the raise - no real basis for this.
- Project share - I've adopted 20%. I feel this is conservative as at this percentage the project partner would pay $115m AUD to receive $30M USD/yr ($42M/Aud/yr) for a minimum of 18yrs and I would hope it would be less than this.
To reach parity between selling a part of the project (in this instance 20%) the equity raise would need to be between 65 to 70c to be comparable.
My numbers are fairly rough and a bit simplistic in the approach (FCF not NPV) and there are probably a bunch of holes in my assumptions so I'd welcome feedback on them. I probably need to think a bit further about the impact of the different funding options considering the potential upsides (after all our resource gives us a LOM of 150 yrs plus).
Cheers
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- VR8
- Ann: Premium Strategic Placement and Offtake MOU
Ann: Premium Strategic Placement and Offtake MOU, page-67
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 54 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add VR8 (ASX) to my watchlist
|
|||||
Last
5.0¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $28.13M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | 0 |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 2500 | 4.8¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
5.0¢ | 400 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 2500 | 0.048 |
1 | 25000 | 0.046 |
1 | 100000 | 0.045 |
1 | 11907 | 0.042 |
1 | 75000 | 0.040 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.050 | 400 | 1 |
0.052 | 57692 | 1 |
0.054 | 400000 | 1 |
0.055 | 88054 | 2 |
0.060 | 190379 | 3 |
Last trade - 16.14pm 30/07/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
VR8 (ASX) Chart |
Day chart unavailable
The Watchlist
MTL
MANTLE MINERALS LIMITED
Nick Poll, Executive Director
Nick Poll
Executive Director
SPONSORED BY The Market Online