I am not forecasting a liquidity squeeze, I am just worried about one. In 1999-2000 the US Fed had similarly flooded the system with massive liquidity to tide it over from Y2K related issues. When it went to withdraw liquidity there was sharp negative reaction by the stock market. I guess we could see the same towards the end of Q1 2020.
If the Fed finds that it can’t step back from it's repo operations stocks could see a more aggressive melt-up helped by a tsunami of Fed liquidity, but the US dollar will fall more, and Gold will benefit.
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I am not forecasting a liquidity squeeze, I am just worried...
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