TGA 0.00% $1.17 thorn group limited

Ann: Profit Guidance, page-43

  1. 7,302 Posts.
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    Some back of the envelope numbers:
    1st Half year 2018: $11 million profit = approx EPS of 6.9c against half year 2017 EPS of 9.8c

    2nd Half year 2018: $6million profit ($17-$11 million= approx EPS of 3.8c against second half 2017 EPS of 6.4c

    Shares on hand: 158 million

    We are seeing a rapid and continued decrease in earnings with no light yet at the end of the tunnel.

    If I extrapolate 3.8c x 2 = 7.6c as maybe (and only maybe) bottom of the cycle earnings, then on a PE of say 8 i get a share price of only 60c.

    I am staying on the sidelines.
    Too dangerous still to dip in
 
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