Ann: Quarterly Activities and Appendix 5B December 2022, page-21

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    They have stated that the repayments are only a relatively small deduction from the price they receive from AGL .
    Guessing at revenue is fairly futile at this stage until we see the next couple of quarterlies as the other Vali wells come on production .
    The critical metric is free cash flow .
    Until that occurs the cash in the bank will diminish and will determine if they have to borrow or raise more equity .

    Odin coming online could be a big step up in free cash flow as they will have unallocated gas at a time ( winter ) when they spot market is usually very strong .

    They will probably have to raise more equity to continue with more drilling , Odin 2 and probably Kinta and the shallow oil prospects but if they get to Odin start without a CR then it is likely to be at a much higher price than now .
    Alternatively may get a good Odin GSA with prepayment to pay for Odin 2 ect .

    Corporate action might also be a possibility and I would be happy to accept VEN shares if the deal was favourable.

    Lots of unknowns to unfold over just the next few months but on balance looks like a strong hold to me .
    Last edited by jophda: 04/02/23
 
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