AEV 0.00% 1.1¢ avenira limited

Ann: Quarterly Activities/Appendix 5B Cash Flow Report, page-207

  1. 7,323 Posts.
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    Re; Japan and Korea

    It is worth noting both of these countries import less than 1.8mtpa. AEV's 600ktpa DSO target would present >33% of total imports for either country. Even if we halve it to spread it evenly across both countries, >16.5% seems high to me in terms of either new demand and/or displacing existing suppliers.

    http://aeep.eu/data-and-statistics/

    If anyone has a alternative source for this data, it may be a beneficial exercise to compare/contrast.

    Worth noting CXM deal with South Korea includes distribution to other countries. This is another pointer on Korea's ability to absorb new product (and yes, I realise the difference in products).


    My earlier NPV range $200-400m was predicated upon 600ktpa being reached within 16 months. The production quantity and ramp up remains the greatest risk for me.

    All imo
 
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