KCN 1.25% $1.62 kingsgate consolidated limited.

So my reading of the tea leaves:Mid May KCN had produced 2kozs...

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    So my reading of the tea leaves:

    • Mid May KCN had produced 2kozs of gold per update announcements.
    • End of Qtr they had produced 10kozs but sold 8.5k ozs
    • So in last 6 weeks of Qtr produced at minimum of 1koz per week.
    • Plant is working above name plate capacity so believe at steady-state production
    • Not expecting grade to decline, may improve but only marginally.
    • At 1koz+ per week that's 12-13koz of gold plus silver
    • If current Qtr is forecast to be cashflow +ve and we are at steady state the operation is CASHFLOW POSITIVE NOW
    • Expect revenue/receipts for Qtr therefore to be $36M+
    • Production costs as stated expected to decline this Qtr as plant2 ramp-up ends.
    • Mining fleet mobilised in last Qtr so there were costs associated but no benefit from ore production
    • May be extra mining fleet costs next Qtr as ramp-up continues but will be off-set by declining costs elsewhere.
    • So even If production costs increase $6M from June Qtr level, operation should still produce $10M+ cashflow from operations.
    • Financing should now be easier if the operation is cashflow positive with 2.5 years of stockpiles and mining fleet mobilised.
    Last edited by worzel1: 01/08/23
 
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